Flemington Home of the Melbourne Cup Carnival Victoria ...

2018 Melbourne Cup Day chat

BestBets Proform race book - Uploaded the Best bets form for those playing at home

On Saturday I posted my ratings for each race, the top rated horse provided 1 winner for the day, but the top 5 provided a number of multiples and exotics. The way they work is simple, I use data from a number of websites, which combines career peaks, current form, track & conditions form with more weight given to their last few runs. Time to track record and pace in race are also a factor. This is added to barrier gates stats, trainer & jockey form and provides a fairly easy to read rating for each race. They work better on exposed form as do all ratings, so 2 year old and maidens are Ricky bets. Once the ratings are done I do the form around the top 5.
For the Cup I'll post all ratings for the 24 horses.
Be aware that Flemington is one of the worst performing tracks for the ratings with just 15.55 winners over the past 5 years at an avg price of $3.75. POT% is 54.55 and strike rate is a winner every 6.88 races. That said the winner does come from the top 5 in more races than not at Flemington.

For those out of Australia, the Melbourne Cup day fields are huge in most races, its not the best days racing class wise but is a great punting day, a lot of owners ask their trainers to target the under card races, which means form comes from all over the country and you quite often see longer price winners.
A mate of mine did a video on how to play cup week a few years ago: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ScRK2Rgi-bU
Good luck and happy punting:

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Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for racing at Flemington on Tuesday, November 5th. It's the first Tuesday in November which means it's 2019 Melbourne Cup Day at Flemington! 'The Race That Stops The Nation' headlines a huge 10-race card at headquarters, and we've previewed every race of the meeting below. The Melbourne Cup is just one race at Flemington on Melboune Cup Day, in fact, there are no less than ten races to be enjoyed from the meeting. These are big races too, with prize money in the €135-200,000 region for the other 9 races, along with over $8,000,000 (£4,300,000) for the Melbourne Cup itself. MELBOURNE Cup day is the greatest day in Australian turf and we have free racing tips, form and updated odds for all 10 races on the card at Flemington, including the $6 million 2017 Melbourne Cup.. 24 of the world’s best stayers will run over two miles at Flemington with the big question being if the local thoroughbreds can hold off the European charge. Melbourne Cup. The Melbourne Cup is Australia’s most prestigious horse race, known as “The race that stops a nation”, and is held at Flemington racecourse on the first Tuesday in November. The two-mile race is a Group 1 handicap for three-year-olds and older, and is the richest two-mile handicap in the world. As such, it attracts entrants from all over the world, including Japan, Britain ... From seemingly nowhere, Persan has a prized spot in this year's Lexus Melbourne Cup via his Bart Cummings win at Flemington on Saturday. The Group 3 victory was the sixth win for Persan for the preparation, which began back in April with a placing in a maiden at Wangaratta.

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